Decision Review™ · Executive Brief
Geofizyka Toruń
Open Hole Imaging Package
Prepared for A. Morgan, VP Commercial · RFQ value £1.20M · Decision window closes 04 Jul 2026
Decision Confidence™
Confidence has held above the 80% threshold for 36 hours. Top contributors: technical capability (+22), commercial fit (+19).
Kairos Recommendation
k‑core v4.23 conditions outstandingAuthorise commercial to issue a conditional offer once the three required actions are confirmed. Re‑route to executive review on 03 Jul to validate hedge and tool string before final sign‑off.
Section 01
Executive Summary
Geofizyka Toruń is requesting a full open‑hole imaging package for a three‑well exploration programme in the Polish Lowlands. The technical scope aligns closely with two previously delivered engagements (Kromolin‑3, 2024 and Wronów‑2, 2025), both of which closed within margin targets.
Commercial terms are within policy, but the customer has a documented pattern of mid‑project scope expansion that historically eroded margin by 3–5pp. We recommend proceeding with a change‑order ceiling and a confirmed secondary tool string. Treasury review is required for the PLN‑denominated component (32% of cost base).
Section 02
Decision DNA™
Six weighted dimensions that compose the overall confidence score.
Section 03
Top Risks
Ranked by expected margin impact across the engagement.
Last two engagements required >20% mid-project scope expansion. Margin erosion 3–5pp observed.
Backup kit committed to Aker BP in same window. Procurement to confirm alternative by 02 Jul.
32% of cost base settled in PLN with no active hedge. Treasury sign‑off required.
Master service terms amendment awaiting counsel review — draft returned 26 Jun.
Section 06
Decision Replay™
Every step the Kairos engine took, fully auditable.
- 24 Jun · 09:14·SystemRFQ ingested · 142 documents parsed by k‑core
- 24 Jun · 09:22·Knowledge GraphAuto‑matched to 3 historical projects · similarity 81%
- 25 Jun · 11:08·Margin EngineMargin model run · target 18.4% achievable
- 26 Jun · 16:41·Risk Engine2 risks flagged · customer scope volatility, PLN exposure
- 27 Jun · 08:30·Kairos AIDraft recommendation generated · 82% confidence
- Today · 14:02·WorkflowRouted to A. Morgan for executive review
Section 07
What changes the decision?
Live simulation. Adjust the levers to see how Kairos re-scores the recommendation.
Simulated outcome
Simulation only · does not modify the committed Decision Review™.
Section 08
Ask Kairos
Structured explanations grounded in this Decision Review™. Answers cite the same inputs as the recommendation.
The engagement is technically well-matched (92/100) with strong commercial fit (88/100), but Geofizyka has a documented pattern of mid-project scope expansion and 32% of the cost base sits in PLN. Proceeding is defensible only with a change-order ceiling, treasury hedge review, and secondary tool string confirmation.
Section 04
Required Actions
- A01Add change-order ceiling clauseP. Novak·Legal·due 01 Jul
- A02Confirm secondary tool string availabilityR. Chen·Operations·due 02 Jul
- A03Run treasury hedge review for PLN exposureS. Okafor·Treasury·due 03 Jul
- A04Schedule executive sign-off callA. Morgan·Commercial·due 04 Jul
Section 05
Missing Information
- Updated HSE bridging document (rev 4.2)outstanding 5 days
- Final logistics quote — Maersk Drilling Logisticsoutstanding 3 days
- Confirmation of crew rotation pattern for Q3outstanding 2 days
- Secondary tool string availability windowoutstanding 4 days
Audit trail
Executive sign-off
Two endorsements received · one signature outstanding
By committing, you attest that the Decision DNA™ inputs, risk register and required actions have been reviewed in line with Kairos Intelligence governance policy KIG-0042.